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The Silent Threat to Retailers' Biggest Quarter: Outages and AI Blind Spots

Nic Benders
New Relic

AI continues to be the top story across the industry, but a big test is coming up as retailers make the final preparations before the holiday season starts. Will new AI powered features help load up Santa's sleigh this year? Or are early adopters in for unpleasant surprises in the form of unexpected high costs, poor performance, or even service outages?

Every year shoppers spend more money online, this year it could top $300 billion, and every year their expectations go up. People also expect fast, flawless experiences, and even a small hiccup — a checkout freeze, a payment error, or a laggy app can immediately lose revenue and trust.

Every retailer knows this, and knows the hard work that goes into preventing those problems. Decades of experience have shown us that testing, pre-scaling, and careful change management can help control the chaos. But this year, AI may add an unpredictable element.

Where AI Complicates Things

AI is everywhere in retail — powering recommendations, forecasting demand, personalizing experiences. But AI also makes systems more complicated. And because every answer is different, it doesn't always follow the usual rules for software. That can create blind spots, allowing problems to hide in places no one is looking until customers feel it first.

AI systems also scale differently than other software. It's not just CPU and RAM anymore. Suddenly GPU and memory bandwidth matter too. Cloud instances that can be used for AI are in constant demand.

What happens when everyone scales up at once? Do you spend more to win the bidding war for resources? Switch to smaller models that might make more mistakes? Live with slow responses?

The need to answer these questions is driving the rapidly growing AI monitoring tool space. AI monitoring lets teams see into the AI layer — keeping an eye on how those models perform, watching the usual usage and speed, but also watching costs and spotting weird outputs or failures before customers do.

The numbers tell the story. Last year, according to our research just over a third of retailers used AI monitoring. Now, more than half do. Another quarter say they'll add it in the next year. The use of predictive analytics, which enables them to anticipate and prevent potential system issues before they happen, is rising too, because guessing wrong about demand or pricing can be just as damaging as a crash.

Getting Intelligent About Observability

Let's start simple: observability is how you see what's happening inside your digital store. Think of it like the cameras, sensors, and dashboards that tell you what's happening in a physical one. You wouldn't run a store blind — same goes online. Just like AI is creating problems, it is also creating new solutions, making observability more proactive and intelligent.

Before the rise of AI and intelligent observability, IT teams would piece together logs and metrics, follow alerts, and chase down customer complaints to figure out where there were issues in the system. It worked, but it was slow and messy. Problems were usually found after the fact, and every minute of delay meant money lost.

Intelligent observability flips that script. By unifying all the data and adding predictive smarts, it helps teams catch problems before they turn into outages. It shrinks detection and resolution times, and in many cases, it can prevent issues entirely. For retailers heading into peak season, that's not just useful — it's survival.

The Time Machine

The financial hit from IT outages is brutal, but it might not be the worst cost. Nearly half of retailers deal with at least one major outage every month — each one pulling engineers off innovation. In fact, retail leaders say their teams spend an average of 25% of their time managing disruptions instead of building new features that drive growth.

Observability gives that time back. Retailers using it report finding and fixing issues about twice as fast. Add AI monitoring, and you also get AI-assisted troubleshooting, automated fixes, and quicker reviews after incidents. That's time, money, and customer trust saved.

Getting It Right

When you are preparing AI powered features for peak, make sure that you understand their scaling modes, and are monitoring the cost and quality of output, not just the response time and error rate.

And when you are looking for an AI monitoring solution, look for an Observability platform that gives you visibility across everything — checkout, inventory, cloud infrastructure, even the third-party services you rely on. It should unify your data, scale with peak demand, and plug into the tools your teams already use.

And it's not just about the tools. The first step is knowing your critical customer paths —  hop, buy, fulfill. Every one of those needs to be watched end-to-end. Intelligent observability handles the repetitive monitoring so your teams can spend their time on judgment calls, not dashboards.

The Safety Net You Can't Skip

Human-only monitoring isn't enough anymore. And rolling out AI without intelligent observability is asking for trouble.

Intelligent observability acts like a safety net. It surfaces issues you didn't even know to look for and can even fix them before anyone notices. AI monitoring adds an extra layer, making sure the AI apps you're betting on don't quietly erode your revenue or customer trust.

For retailers, that's the difference between a record-breaking quarter and one derailed by glitches and abandoned carts. When the dust (and snowflakes) have settled after this year's peak season, the winners are going to be the companies who weren't afraid to take risks, because they knew they had the right safety net.

Nic Benders is Chief Technical Strategist at New Relic

The Latest

Enterprises are under pressure to scale AI quickly. Yet despite considerable investment, adoption continues to stall. One of the most overlooked reasons is vendor sprawl ... In reality, no organization deliberately sets out to create sprawling vendor ecosystems. More often, complexity accumulates over time through well-intentioned initiatives, such as enterprise-wide digital transformation efforts, point solutions, or decentralized sourcing strategies ...

Nearly every conversation about AI eventually circles back to compute. GPUs dominate the headlines while cloud platforms compete for workloads and model benchmarks drive investment decisions. But underneath that noise, a quieter infrastructure challenge is taking shape. The real bottleneck in enterprise AI is not processing power, it is the ability to store, manage and retrieve the relentless volumes of data that AI systems generate, consume and multiply ...

The 2026 Observability Survey from Grafana Labs paints a vivid picture of an industry maturing fast, where AI is welcomed with careful conditions, SaaS economics are reshaping spending decisions, complexity remains a defining challenge, and open standards continue to underpin it all ...

The observability industry has an evolving relationship with AI. We're not skeptics, but it's clear that trust in AI must be earned ... In Grafana Labs' annual Observability Survey, 92% said they see real value in AI surfacing anomalies before they cause downtime. Another 91% endorsed AI for forecasting and root cause analysis. So while the demand is there, customers need it to be trustworthy, as the survey also found that the practitioners most enthusiastic about AI are also the most insistent on explainability ...

In the modern enterprise, the conversation around AI has moved past skepticism toward a stage of active adoption. According to our 2026 State of IT Trends Report: The Human Side of Autonomous AI, nearly 90% of IT professionals view AI as a net positive, and this optimism is well-founded. We are seeing agentic AI move beyond simple automation to actively streamlining complex data insights and eliminating the manual toil that has long hindered innovation. However, as we integrate these autonomous agents into our ecosystems, the fundamental DNA of the IT role is evolving ...

AI workloads require an enormous amount of computing power ... What's also becoming abundantly clear is just how quickly AI's computing needs are leading to enterprise systems failure. According to Cockroach Labs' State of AI Infrastructure 2026 report, enterprise systems are much closer to failure than their organizations realize. The report ... suggests AI scale could cause widespread failures in as little as one year — making it a clear risk for business performance and reliability.

The quietest week your engineering team has ever had might also be its best. No alarms going off. No escalations. No frantic Teams or Slack threads at 2 a.m. Everything humming along exactly as it should. And somewhere in a leadership meeting, someone looks at the metrics dashboard, sees a flat line of incidents and says: "Seems like things are pretty calm over there. Do we really need all those people?" ... I've spent many years in engineering, and this pattern keeps repeating ...

The gap is widening between what teams spend on observability tools and the value they receive amid surging data volumes and budget pressures, according to The Breaking Point for Observability Leaders, a report from Imply ...

Seamless shopping is a basic demand of today's boundaryless consumer — one with little patience for friction, limited tolerance for disconnected experiences and minimal hesitation in switching brands. Customers expect intuitive, highly personalized experiences and the ability to move effortlessly across physical and digital channels within the same journey. Failure to deliver can cost dearly ...

If your best engineers spend their days sorting tickets and resetting access, you are wasting talent. New global data shows that employees in the IT sector rank among the least motivated across industries. They're under a lot of pressure from many angles. Pressure to upskill and uncertainty around what agentic AI means for job security is creating anxiety. Meanwhile, these roles often function like an on-call job and require many repetitive tasks ...

The Silent Threat to Retailers' Biggest Quarter: Outages and AI Blind Spots

Nic Benders
New Relic

AI continues to be the top story across the industry, but a big test is coming up as retailers make the final preparations before the holiday season starts. Will new AI powered features help load up Santa's sleigh this year? Or are early adopters in for unpleasant surprises in the form of unexpected high costs, poor performance, or even service outages?

Every year shoppers spend more money online, this year it could top $300 billion, and every year their expectations go up. People also expect fast, flawless experiences, and even a small hiccup — a checkout freeze, a payment error, or a laggy app can immediately lose revenue and trust.

Every retailer knows this, and knows the hard work that goes into preventing those problems. Decades of experience have shown us that testing, pre-scaling, and careful change management can help control the chaos. But this year, AI may add an unpredictable element.

Where AI Complicates Things

AI is everywhere in retail — powering recommendations, forecasting demand, personalizing experiences. But AI also makes systems more complicated. And because every answer is different, it doesn't always follow the usual rules for software. That can create blind spots, allowing problems to hide in places no one is looking until customers feel it first.

AI systems also scale differently than other software. It's not just CPU and RAM anymore. Suddenly GPU and memory bandwidth matter too. Cloud instances that can be used for AI are in constant demand.

What happens when everyone scales up at once? Do you spend more to win the bidding war for resources? Switch to smaller models that might make more mistakes? Live with slow responses?

The need to answer these questions is driving the rapidly growing AI monitoring tool space. AI monitoring lets teams see into the AI layer — keeping an eye on how those models perform, watching the usual usage and speed, but also watching costs and spotting weird outputs or failures before customers do.

The numbers tell the story. Last year, according to our research just over a third of retailers used AI monitoring. Now, more than half do. Another quarter say they'll add it in the next year. The use of predictive analytics, which enables them to anticipate and prevent potential system issues before they happen, is rising too, because guessing wrong about demand or pricing can be just as damaging as a crash.

Getting Intelligent About Observability

Let's start simple: observability is how you see what's happening inside your digital store. Think of it like the cameras, sensors, and dashboards that tell you what's happening in a physical one. You wouldn't run a store blind — same goes online. Just like AI is creating problems, it is also creating new solutions, making observability more proactive and intelligent.

Before the rise of AI and intelligent observability, IT teams would piece together logs and metrics, follow alerts, and chase down customer complaints to figure out where there were issues in the system. It worked, but it was slow and messy. Problems were usually found after the fact, and every minute of delay meant money lost.

Intelligent observability flips that script. By unifying all the data and adding predictive smarts, it helps teams catch problems before they turn into outages. It shrinks detection and resolution times, and in many cases, it can prevent issues entirely. For retailers heading into peak season, that's not just useful — it's survival.

The Time Machine

The financial hit from IT outages is brutal, but it might not be the worst cost. Nearly half of retailers deal with at least one major outage every month — each one pulling engineers off innovation. In fact, retail leaders say their teams spend an average of 25% of their time managing disruptions instead of building new features that drive growth.

Observability gives that time back. Retailers using it report finding and fixing issues about twice as fast. Add AI monitoring, and you also get AI-assisted troubleshooting, automated fixes, and quicker reviews after incidents. That's time, money, and customer trust saved.

Getting It Right

When you are preparing AI powered features for peak, make sure that you understand their scaling modes, and are monitoring the cost and quality of output, not just the response time and error rate.

And when you are looking for an AI monitoring solution, look for an Observability platform that gives you visibility across everything — checkout, inventory, cloud infrastructure, even the third-party services you rely on. It should unify your data, scale with peak demand, and plug into the tools your teams already use.

And it's not just about the tools. The first step is knowing your critical customer paths —  hop, buy, fulfill. Every one of those needs to be watched end-to-end. Intelligent observability handles the repetitive monitoring so your teams can spend their time on judgment calls, not dashboards.

The Safety Net You Can't Skip

Human-only monitoring isn't enough anymore. And rolling out AI without intelligent observability is asking for trouble.

Intelligent observability acts like a safety net. It surfaces issues you didn't even know to look for and can even fix them before anyone notices. AI monitoring adds an extra layer, making sure the AI apps you're betting on don't quietly erode your revenue or customer trust.

For retailers, that's the difference between a record-breaking quarter and one derailed by glitches and abandoned carts. When the dust (and snowflakes) have settled after this year's peak season, the winners are going to be the companies who weren't afraid to take risks, because they knew they had the right safety net.

Nic Benders is Chief Technical Strategist at New Relic

The Latest

Enterprises are under pressure to scale AI quickly. Yet despite considerable investment, adoption continues to stall. One of the most overlooked reasons is vendor sprawl ... In reality, no organization deliberately sets out to create sprawling vendor ecosystems. More often, complexity accumulates over time through well-intentioned initiatives, such as enterprise-wide digital transformation efforts, point solutions, or decentralized sourcing strategies ...

Nearly every conversation about AI eventually circles back to compute. GPUs dominate the headlines while cloud platforms compete for workloads and model benchmarks drive investment decisions. But underneath that noise, a quieter infrastructure challenge is taking shape. The real bottleneck in enterprise AI is not processing power, it is the ability to store, manage and retrieve the relentless volumes of data that AI systems generate, consume and multiply ...

The 2026 Observability Survey from Grafana Labs paints a vivid picture of an industry maturing fast, where AI is welcomed with careful conditions, SaaS economics are reshaping spending decisions, complexity remains a defining challenge, and open standards continue to underpin it all ...

The observability industry has an evolving relationship with AI. We're not skeptics, but it's clear that trust in AI must be earned ... In Grafana Labs' annual Observability Survey, 92% said they see real value in AI surfacing anomalies before they cause downtime. Another 91% endorsed AI for forecasting and root cause analysis. So while the demand is there, customers need it to be trustworthy, as the survey also found that the practitioners most enthusiastic about AI are also the most insistent on explainability ...

In the modern enterprise, the conversation around AI has moved past skepticism toward a stage of active adoption. According to our 2026 State of IT Trends Report: The Human Side of Autonomous AI, nearly 90% of IT professionals view AI as a net positive, and this optimism is well-founded. We are seeing agentic AI move beyond simple automation to actively streamlining complex data insights and eliminating the manual toil that has long hindered innovation. However, as we integrate these autonomous agents into our ecosystems, the fundamental DNA of the IT role is evolving ...

AI workloads require an enormous amount of computing power ... What's also becoming abundantly clear is just how quickly AI's computing needs are leading to enterprise systems failure. According to Cockroach Labs' State of AI Infrastructure 2026 report, enterprise systems are much closer to failure than their organizations realize. The report ... suggests AI scale could cause widespread failures in as little as one year — making it a clear risk for business performance and reliability.

The quietest week your engineering team has ever had might also be its best. No alarms going off. No escalations. No frantic Teams or Slack threads at 2 a.m. Everything humming along exactly as it should. And somewhere in a leadership meeting, someone looks at the metrics dashboard, sees a flat line of incidents and says: "Seems like things are pretty calm over there. Do we really need all those people?" ... I've spent many years in engineering, and this pattern keeps repeating ...

The gap is widening between what teams spend on observability tools and the value they receive amid surging data volumes and budget pressures, according to The Breaking Point for Observability Leaders, a report from Imply ...

Seamless shopping is a basic demand of today's boundaryless consumer — one with little patience for friction, limited tolerance for disconnected experiences and minimal hesitation in switching brands. Customers expect intuitive, highly personalized experiences and the ability to move effortlessly across physical and digital channels within the same journey. Failure to deliver can cost dearly ...

If your best engineers spend their days sorting tickets and resetting access, you are wasting talent. New global data shows that employees in the IT sector rank among the least motivated across industries. They're under a lot of pressure from many angles. Pressure to upskill and uncertainty around what agentic AI means for job security is creating anxiety. Meanwhile, these roles often function like an on-call job and require many repetitive tasks ...