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Finding the Needle in the Haystack: How Machine Learning Will Revolutionize Root Cause Analysis

Ajay Singh
Zebrium

When a website or app fails or falters, the standard operating procedure is to assemble a sizable team to quickly "divide and conquer" to find a solution. The details of the problem can usually be found somewhere among millions of log events and metrics, leading to slow and painstaking searches that can take hours and often involve handoffs between experts in different areas of the software. The immediate goal in these situations is not to be comprehensive, but rather to troubleshoot until you find a solution that remedies the symptom, even if the underlying root cause is not addressed.

The entire troubleshooting process takes time — generally lots and lots of it — and experience. Development teams tend to be chronically short-staffed and overworked, so adding the burden to hunt for the cause of an app problem means a substantial opportunity cost among other things. To help with the task, most companies leverage multiple best-of-breed observability tools including application performance management (APM), tracing, monitoring and log management. These are used to detect and find a solution to the problem being experienced. Although each tool provides useful data, in total, it can be hard for a person to interpret what is important and what is less so.

Instead of a disruptive and often frenzied, big team approach, this kind of challenge is a perfect application for machine learning (ML) to sift through volumes of data and find meaningful patterns or anomalies that can explain the root cause.

AIOps — using AI for IT operations — has emerged as a possible solution for correlating data from multiple tools to reduce noise and translate events into something more meaningful for a user. On the plus side, AIOps solutions are designed to handle events from a wide range of tools, making them versatile. On the negative side, most AIOps solutions require very long training periods (typically many months) against labeled data sets. These solutions also fall short, because they are designed to correlate events against known problems rather than find the root cause of new or unknown failure modes. This is a particular weakness in fast changing cloud-native environments, where new failure modes crop up on a regular basis.

In order to find the root cause of new failure modes, a different type of AI approach is needed. Since logs often contain the source of truth when a software failure occurs, one approach is to use ML on logs. The concept is to identify just the anomalous patterns in the logs that explain the details of the problem. This can be challenging since logs are mostly unstructured and "noisy." On top of that, log volumes are typically huge with data coming from many different log streams, each with a large number of log lines. Historical approaches have focused on basic anomaly detection which not only produce verbose results that require human interpretation, but also don't explain correlations across micro-services, often entirely missing key details of the problem.

It turns out, the most effective way to perform ML on logs is to use a pipeline with multiple different ML strategies depending on stage of the process. Specialized ML starts by self-learning (i.e. unsupervised) how to structure and categorize the logs — this produces a solid foundation for the remaining ML stages. Next, the ML learns the patterns of each type of log event. Once this learning has occurred, the ML system can identify anomalous log events within each log stream (events that break pattern).

Finally, to pull out the signal from the noise, the system needs to find correlations between anomalies and errors across multiple log streams. This process provides an effective way of uncovering just the sequence of log lines that describe the problem and its root cause. In doing so, it allows for accurate detection of new types of failure modes as well as the information needed to identify root cause.

Such a methodology is similar to the approach taken by skilled engineers — understanding the logs, identifying rare and high-severity events and then finding correlations between clusters of these events across multiple log streams. But it requires considerable time for humans to do this. In practice, the task would be spread out across multiple people in a divide and conquer mode in attempt to accelerate the process and lessen the load for each person. While this inherently makes sense, it creates an additional challenge of requiring team members to communicate with each other in such a way that all are aware of all anomalies and errors, and the observations and learnings are all known and shared across the group. In essence, the team needs to function as a single entity.

A multi-staged ML approach works as a single automated entity, and it should not require any manual training, whether in reviewing correlations for tuning algorithms or massaging data sets. The system should free up DevOps teams, so that they only have to respond to actual findings of root cause. A system should only need a few hours of log data to achieve proper levels of accuracy.

While AIOps is useful for reducing the overall event "noise" from the many observability tools in use in an organization, applying multi-stage unsupervised ML to logs is a great way of both detecting new types of failure modes as well as their root cause. Rather than just triaging a problem and coming up with a quick fix or workaround, the system can determine the true root cause and likely avoid other such problems in the future.

Ajay Singh is Founder and CEO of Zebrium

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Finding the Needle in the Haystack: How Machine Learning Will Revolutionize Root Cause Analysis

Ajay Singh
Zebrium

When a website or app fails or falters, the standard operating procedure is to assemble a sizable team to quickly "divide and conquer" to find a solution. The details of the problem can usually be found somewhere among millions of log events and metrics, leading to slow and painstaking searches that can take hours and often involve handoffs between experts in different areas of the software. The immediate goal in these situations is not to be comprehensive, but rather to troubleshoot until you find a solution that remedies the symptom, even if the underlying root cause is not addressed.

The entire troubleshooting process takes time — generally lots and lots of it — and experience. Development teams tend to be chronically short-staffed and overworked, so adding the burden to hunt for the cause of an app problem means a substantial opportunity cost among other things. To help with the task, most companies leverage multiple best-of-breed observability tools including application performance management (APM), tracing, monitoring and log management. These are used to detect and find a solution to the problem being experienced. Although each tool provides useful data, in total, it can be hard for a person to interpret what is important and what is less so.

Instead of a disruptive and often frenzied, big team approach, this kind of challenge is a perfect application for machine learning (ML) to sift through volumes of data and find meaningful patterns or anomalies that can explain the root cause.

AIOps — using AI for IT operations — has emerged as a possible solution for correlating data from multiple tools to reduce noise and translate events into something more meaningful for a user. On the plus side, AIOps solutions are designed to handle events from a wide range of tools, making them versatile. On the negative side, most AIOps solutions require very long training periods (typically many months) against labeled data sets. These solutions also fall short, because they are designed to correlate events against known problems rather than find the root cause of new or unknown failure modes. This is a particular weakness in fast changing cloud-native environments, where new failure modes crop up on a regular basis.

In order to find the root cause of new failure modes, a different type of AI approach is needed. Since logs often contain the source of truth when a software failure occurs, one approach is to use ML on logs. The concept is to identify just the anomalous patterns in the logs that explain the details of the problem. This can be challenging since logs are mostly unstructured and "noisy." On top of that, log volumes are typically huge with data coming from many different log streams, each with a large number of log lines. Historical approaches have focused on basic anomaly detection which not only produce verbose results that require human interpretation, but also don't explain correlations across micro-services, often entirely missing key details of the problem.

It turns out, the most effective way to perform ML on logs is to use a pipeline with multiple different ML strategies depending on stage of the process. Specialized ML starts by self-learning (i.e. unsupervised) how to structure and categorize the logs — this produces a solid foundation for the remaining ML stages. Next, the ML learns the patterns of each type of log event. Once this learning has occurred, the ML system can identify anomalous log events within each log stream (events that break pattern).

Finally, to pull out the signal from the noise, the system needs to find correlations between anomalies and errors across multiple log streams. This process provides an effective way of uncovering just the sequence of log lines that describe the problem and its root cause. In doing so, it allows for accurate detection of new types of failure modes as well as the information needed to identify root cause.

Such a methodology is similar to the approach taken by skilled engineers — understanding the logs, identifying rare and high-severity events and then finding correlations between clusters of these events across multiple log streams. But it requires considerable time for humans to do this. In practice, the task would be spread out across multiple people in a divide and conquer mode in attempt to accelerate the process and lessen the load for each person. While this inherently makes sense, it creates an additional challenge of requiring team members to communicate with each other in such a way that all are aware of all anomalies and errors, and the observations and learnings are all known and shared across the group. In essence, the team needs to function as a single entity.

A multi-staged ML approach works as a single automated entity, and it should not require any manual training, whether in reviewing correlations for tuning algorithms or massaging data sets. The system should free up DevOps teams, so that they only have to respond to actual findings of root cause. A system should only need a few hours of log data to achieve proper levels of accuracy.

While AIOps is useful for reducing the overall event "noise" from the many observability tools in use in an organization, applying multi-stage unsupervised ML to logs is a great way of both detecting new types of failure modes as well as their root cause. Rather than just triaging a problem and coming up with a quick fix or workaround, the system can determine the true root cause and likely avoid other such problems in the future.

Ajay Singh is Founder and CEO of Zebrium

Hot Topics

The Latest

The enterprises that will define the next decade are not the ones that deployed the most technology. They are the ones who understood what their technology was actually doing. That distinction is not a philosophical point. It is the central operational challenge facing every organization that has spent the last five years modernizing at speed ...

AI is becoming the operating system of the enterprise. It acts as an invisible coordination layer that understands intent, connects systems, and executes work across complex SaaS environments. Previously, employees had to click through multiple systems — CRM, ERP, support tools, collaboration platforms — to complete a single task. Now, instead of navigating each application manually, they can simply state what they need to accomplish ...

In 2026, the cost of downtime or an outage is no longer just a technical inconvenience; it's a $600 billion wake up call for global businesses. As our digital ecosystems become  more interconnected, each touchpoint introduces new risks and multiplies the consequences when things go wrong. And the data is clear: aggregate downtime costs  for Global 2,000 companies have surged 50% since 2024, reaching a staggering $600 billion ...

Deloitte found that 74% of enterprises expect to deploy agentic AI solutions in the next 24 months. However, the rush to deployment is outpacing foundational work, though. Only 21% of enterprises have fully formed agent governance models in place. The result? AI agents deployed without guidance or governance begin to function as fragmented islands of complexity ...

Cloud spending is no longer viewed as a passthrough IT expense, but as a strategic financial lever that directly impacts innovation capacity, profitability and enterprise resilience, according to the CFO Cloud Cost Optimization Report from Azul ...

As AI moves from generating responses to performing actions, the need for trust increases exponentially. And as organizations enlist AI agents for increasingly sophisticated business processes, trust is going to be the single most important theme for spurring adoption. What can organizations do to build trustworthy AI agents? ...

I've spent a lot of time in the channel, and one thing I keep coming back to is this: a partner program is only as good as what it looks like in the field. Many programs look great on paper, but when a partner is in front of a customer navigating a complex hybrid environment or trying to make the case for AI-powered observability, the gap between what a vendor promises and what it actually delivers becomes very clear, very fast ...

Enterprises today operate in a real-time environment where uninterrupted access to trusted data has become a baseline expectation for users, applications and automated systems. Traditional DataOps models, built on manual effort and human triage, cannot keep pace with this always active demand. AI agents are emerging as the operational backbone, ensuring consistent data availability, reinforcing trustworthiness and enabling a level of scale that manual processes cannot achieve ...

For decades, trust in the digital workplace rested on familiar signals. We trusted faces on video calls, voices on the phone, and emails that appeared to come from people we knew. These cues felt human and intuitive. They anchored how decisions were made, approvals were granted, and access was authorized. AI-powered deepfakes have quietly broken that model ...

Cloud migration was supposed to be a one-way door. For most enterprises, it turns out it isn't. Cloud data repatriation is a real and growing trend. A new survey ... finds that 89% of organizations plan to expand their on-premises infrastructure footprint over the next two years — and 75% have already moved at least some workloads back from public cloud in the past 24 months. The findings point to a broad rethinking of where data belongs ...